Launch of the Russian Federation in Ukraine intercontinental ballistic missile was commented on by Ukrainian analyst Roman Shraik.
This was reported by “URA-Inform” with reference to Roman Shraik.
The expert noted that he never ruled out the possibility that Russia would launch a nuclear strike. Shrike analyzed the chronology of events from the moment when Russia pulled 11,000 North Korean soldiers to the front, the United States responded by allowing Russia to be hit with ATACMS and Storm Shadow missiles before Ukraine hit targets in the Bryansk and Kursk regions of the Russian Federation.
«Russians (in chorus): «Go nuclear!». Russia launches intercontinental ballistic missile at Ukraine ICBMs are designed to destroy strategically important enemy targets at a distance of several thousand kilometers. With a nuclear charge, of course. And an expensive missile without a nuclear charge flies less than 1000 km with unclear consequences,” he wrote.
At the same time, he emphasized that the purpose of all this was to show that the next strike could be nuclear.
«I have never ruled out the possibility of Russia launching a nuclear strike. But this probability has always been small, albeit smaller during the crisis of Russian troops in the fall of 2022 (Kharkov, Kherson). Unfortunately, Russian troops are not in crisis yet. Putin does not need a last-chance weapon. The convenience and risks of using a nuclear weapon show a negative balance. So the probability of use remains zero,» Shrike continued.
The expert also believes that such missiles are few in number and too valuable to be used simply for intimidation. And in terms of destructive capability, they can be compared with several Iskander-M. So, Shrike argues, there is little point in repeating the strike.
“However, we are dealing with people with a specific logic, so we will not reject this possibility. In the end: this whole measure is very expensive and probably a one-off media podium, depicting a “response”. Otherwise, we follow the work schedule of the US embassy,” the analyst summed up ironically.
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