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A threat to Chasovoy Yar, an important herb and an attack plan for the Russian Federation: smut from Skibitsky’s interview

Representative of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine Vadym Skibitsky interv 'I see The Economist. In any case, the loss of the Hourly Yar is even more important, calling the grass difficult for the Ukrainians and the Russian Federation, which may lead to an attack in the Donbass.

Skibitsky’s main statement – read in the materials of the Republic of Belarus K-Ukraine lower.

Pershochergove region of the Russian Federation

As the representative of the Main Intelligence Directorate predicts, Russia is moving forward with its plan for the so-called “evilization” of the Donetsk and Lugansk regions of Ukraine. This is a commandment that is immutable since 2022.

It seems that the occupiers refused the order to “take it” before the pompous celebration of Victory Day in Moscow on May 9, or, if this is not possible, then until the visit of dictator Volodymyr Putin to Beijing a week later. The fluidity and success of penetration will be significant if the Russians are in charge of an offensive blow.

“Our problem is very simple: we have no evil. They knew from time immemorial that tea and grass would be important for us,” says Skibitsky.

“Wasting the Hourly Yar is all but nourishment for the hour”

The Economist writes, that the high-altitude stronghold near the town of Chasiv Yar is a matter of concern for Ukraine, and even its loss opens the routes to the remaining great place of the Donetsk region

Skibitsky seems to be no matter the hour, when the place is empty, so It’s just like Avdiivka, because the Russians bombed the boarding in the fierce.

“Of course, it’s not today or tomorrow, otherwise everything will lie in our reserves and reserves,” adds a representative of the Main Intelligence Directorate.

Russia is preparing to attack the Kharkov and Sumy regions

To be more surprised, Skibitsky assumes that the Russian Federation is ready eat until the next day in the area of ​​Kharkiv and Sumy regions at a snow meeting. In his words, what time can we expect to lie under the protection of the Ukrainian defense in Donbass? He assumes that the main attack of the enemy will turn out “like a piece of grass or a cob of worms.”

Skibitskyi believes that the aggressor country has acquired 514,000 ground troops acquired in the Ukrainian operation, which exceeds the estimate of 470,000, announced last month by the NATO commander-in-chief, General om Christopher Cavoli.

According to the Ukrainian intelligence officer, the Russian military group, which is based on the cordon near Kharkov, has 35,000 military personnel, or, most likely, will be increased to 50,000-70,000. forms a “division of reserves” (from 15,000 to 20,000 especially) in the central part of Russia, where they can reach the main forces. This is “not enough” for the operation to bury a great place, even a major general. The Economist notes that the same thoughts are being pursued by the Western Soviet Union. However, a smaller scale operation is possible.

“An operation to get out and get out is possible. Otherwise, the operation from the burial of Kharkov will lead to Sum – but in a completely different order. The Russians don’t know that. we know” – emphasizes Skibitsky.

“Trishar's” plan of destabilization

Grass will be a key month, every major general, the remains of Russia will stagnate with a “Trishar” plan for the destabilization of the country. The main factor is the military one. When assistance from the United States stops, the army itself will reach the Ukrainian positions in the future. The expert notes that it is unlikely that it will be possible to match the Russian stockpiles of shells or to ensure effective protection against low-tech, rustic ceramic-plated air bombs, which the Russian Federation is attacking Ukraine today.

Another factor is the Russian disinformation campaign in Ukraine, aimed at fueling Ukrainian mobilization and the political legitimacy of Volodymyr Zelensky, whose presidential term will mentally end 20 herbs Nya. Skibitsky, declaring that although the Constitution clearly allows for the continuation of the term in wartime, his opponents are already vocal about the president’s indignation.

The third factor, according to the words of the representative of the Main Intelligence Directorate, is Russia’s unintentional campaign against International isolation of Ukraine. It seems that the Russians “will take advantage of the situation any way.”

Mobilization in Ukraine

The situation has improved for a little while, but Major General Skibitsky does not want to publicize the emergency situation. Ukrainian officials are concerned that the onset of mobilized recruits will lead to unmotivated soldiers with poor morale, as they say. The only sad thing behind the general’s words is that Russia is facing similar problems. This army is unknown to the professional corps that started the war. Russia still has to throw them away, stretching the already strained defense of Ukraine.

About Ukraine’s victory and negotiations with the Russian Federation

Skibitsky respects that Ukraine will not be able to defeat Russia except on the battlefield. It seems that she could have pushed the Russian troops to the cordons – but the prospect is increasingly distant – but it would not have ended the war. Such wars may end only in agreements, even in war.

The source noted that even the offending parties are trying to take a “leading position” before potential negotiations, otherwise negotiations may start no earlier than the other half of 2025. Until then, the Russian Federation will face serious “sharp winds.”

Russian military production efforts have expanded, but will reach a plateau by the beginning of 2026 due to a shortage of materials and engineers, respects General major. In his words, the offending parties may end up with a lack of balance, “if nothing changes, it will end up in Ukraine first.”

“Russia can take the Baltic states today”

In Skibitsky’s opinion, the biggest unknown factor in the war is Europe, and since Ukraine’s neighbors cannot find a way to increase defense production to help fight Russian aggression, there is no point in kicking In the sights of Russia.

Values ​​5 of NATO Statute apply (when a NATO member recognizes an attack, all other members of the Alliance view this attack as an attack on them and take steps that they consider necessary to assist the Alliance member who recognizes the attack – ed.) and indicate the presence of NATO troops in the countries bordering Ukraine. This fact, in my opinion, may turn out to be of little significance in practice.

“The Russians are devouring the Baltics in just these days. The hour for NATO's reaction is ten days,” asserts Skibitsky.

I respect that the goodness and sacrifice of Ukraine gave Europe a bug atoric head start, having sunk there is a serious threat on the side if the terrible Russian airborne troops and naval infantry last for at least ten years.

Now, according to the words of the representative of the Main Intelligence Directorate, the food lies in the fact that Europe will pay for the price, having deprived Ukraine of gr.

“We will continue to fight. We have no choice. We want to live. Otherwise, the result of the war […] will not be left behind us,” Skibitsky summed up.

Guess what, previously the representative of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Moscow Region, Vadim Skibitsky, gave an interview to RBC-Ukraine. How many missiles and drones are there in the Russian Federation and that there will be a war in 2024?

Read the terms and important information about the war between Russia and Ukraine on the RBC-Ukraine channel in Telegram.

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