Due to the legacy of Russian attacks, the situation in the energy system is no longer stable. The light is supplied behind the graphs, the connection goes up to the “light-gray zones”, as a result of which the electrician is no longer available for 5-6 years after the fact.
About those, if you connect less, for any minds and then the situation will be reduced. tizhny, – from the material of RBC-Ukraine.
Zmist
- What are the forecasts and what will be less included in this year
- What factors are the forecasts based on< /li>
- Why check with the sickle-eater and that you can radically change everything
What are the forecasts and what will be less involved in the same period
Ukrainians have to live under a regime of severe light switch-offs. The main reasons are repairs in the generation system, increased profitability through sinter, reduction in imports and weak savings. The request to save money on air conditioners was not applied, but the effect is insignificant.
The situation may improve in the near future. Prime Minister Denis Shmigal is looking forward to the third ten-day period.
“On the 20th, it is time to improve the situation. Repair work will be completed at certain generation facilities, which will increase the pressure on the power system. In this way, the outages will not be so troublesome,” he said last Tuesday. p>
Head for days The board of directors of NEC “Ukrenergo” Volodymyr Kudrytsky said that he had changed his mind about such a scenario. Persha – this is due to additional efforts, another – forecasting a decline in demand and a decrease in demand on the energy system. You need to check for a repeat or two.
“In the third decade, the lime tree will actually become a little lighter. It will lie due to the decline of sinter… True, it may become a little lighter, because additional generational pressure will be turned on,” adding wine.
When Tsomu V.O. General Director of “Ukrainian Regional Merezhs” Artem Martinyuk said during the telethon that reductions are possible in this year. If you yourself – at first glance – it’s difficult to say. Everything will remain until the generation exits from repairs, but there is hope that “everything will be improved” before the end of the year.
Director of energy programs at the Razumkov Center Volodymyr Omelchenko respects that it is unlikely that hang on to the value of the shortened period .
“For me, for example, the information from Ukrenergo is more reliable. Because Ukrenergo controls all the data in the energy system so that there is no evidence of pressure, shortages, etc. In principle, I can take into account that the situation I can still paint myself like linden. means that it will be brighter, but such confidence is. Here, for this week,” a commentator from RBC-Ukraine said.
What factors are the forecasts based on?
In the territory controlled by Ukraine there are three nuclear power plants, with a total of nine power units. Khmelnitsky AES operates two 1000 MW units, Pivdennoukrainska AES – three 1000 MW units, Rivne AES – two units: two 1000 MW and two 420 MW.
Significantly, it has been paid off since 2022 Iyanami Zaporizka AES (the largest nuclear power plant in Europe) has six units of 1000 MW each. So, in fact, more than half of the current deficit of 9 GW could have been covered by these factors, as if it were under the control of Ukraine and was under renewed pressure.
The peculiarity of the operation of nuclear units is that once they are put into operation for scheduled repair and renovation work, during which time there is also the possibility of increasing/increasing nuclear fuel. As a rule, smells are removed from spring to autumn in order to approach the burning period in maximum readiness.
According to information from Energoatom, the robots reached the middle of the linden on just a few blocks, including three “thousanders” (1000 MW each). For example, the “thousander” of the Khmelnitsky Nuclear Power Plant was connected to Bereznya, two power units were connected to Travna, and another one was connected to the cob. Moreover, most of the work could be completed several days earlier than planned.
It is obligatory to turn off the lights according to the schedule of the repair campaign at the nuclear power plant.
“Today there are three units be under repair, otherwise not working Here, the Energoatom company operates not at all pressure, at about 50-60% of the actual ones,” said Omelchenko.
Another factor is abnormal sintering. As they said at Ukrenergo, in addition to the lack of generation, the deficit in the energy system is caused by the weather. Through the sinter, life increases, so they ordered three lamps to be turned on.
Connecting one lamp means a possible light duration of up to 4 years per day, two – up to 8 years, three – up to 12 years, oh – until 16 one year, five – up to 20 years. Read the report on the mechanism for instructions.
Last week Kiev saw three temperature records at once. Moreover, the minimum temperature on July 11 did not fall below +21.7, the maximum reached +34.2, and the average of +28.1 was the highest for this day in the entire history of observations.
The peak is due to a strong anticyclone from a day that blocks the passage of cold air. It is predicted that the peak heat will last until July 16th at least, and already from the 19th-20th a decrease in temperature indicators is possible in the western and midland regions.
“I’m amazed at the weather forecast and I don’t expect the temperature to drop yet. One of the days it will be up to +37. So, in principle, it’s unlikely that the temperature will drop. It’s possible, at least on the weekend,” adding ovnik
Why wait for Serpny-Zhovtnya that you can radically change everything
According to the words of the head of “Ukrenergo” Kudrytsky, the situation is improving step by step. According to these words, you will feel lighter in the coming years, and in the spring, spring and summer there will be less connection.
Volodymyr Omelchenko says that all forecasts are too theoretical.
“We can pass this spring with a minimum of separation. Otherwise, the practice may turn out to be completely different. Because the strikes on energy facilities have not been carried out. And Russian propaganda has suggested the preparation of strikes on Kiev th GES, Kanivsky rowing and so on. attacks are possible, we know what our enemy is, and if such a situation is expected to change radically,” he said.
On Friday, the representative of the Ministry of Health of Russia, Maria Zakharova, made an absurd statement, which involved Ukraine in any plans to destroy the rowing of the Kiev Hydroelectric Power Station and the Kaniv Reservoir. This is how the Russians acted in 2023 and as a result destroyed the Kakhovka hydroelectric station dam. It is expected that attacks on the dams could lead to significant flooding of Kiev and Cherkas.
As long as there will be no new attacks on energy facilities, we can be sure that the storm will pass without a power outage x zones” .
“In your opinion, we would like to additionally request 1.5 GW of power and reduce heat. Then we can be sure that we will turn on no more than two hours at a time. And this means that we will have electrical energy “light gray zones” Yakshcho There will be no more shelling, then there is a chance that we will go through the period from the middle of the sickle to the beginning of the future without switching off schedules, but this is not the ideal scenario,” the expert concluded.
It is significant that the fall of leaves is deficient. Icyt in the energy system will get bigger again. For a report on what will happen with the graphs after the cold snap, read the material “Lights are switched off for free. Ukrainians are likely to import electricity from Europe.”
During the preparation of the material vikorist: declare the prime minister -Minister Denis Shmigal, head of the board of Ukrenergo Volodymyr Kudrytsky, v.o. General Director of “Ukrainian Unified Merezhs” Artem Martinyuk, commentary of the director of energy programs of the “Razumkov Center” Volodymyr Omelchenko.
Read the terms and important information about the war between Russia and Ukraine on the RBC-Ukraine channel on Telegram.< /p>