Periodic and pulsating Russian mechanized attacks clearly depict I will show you exactly the offensive capabilities of Russia. You are unlikely to carry out a new summer offensive operation through material and human exchanges.
RBC-Ukraine informs about this in a letter to the Institute of Warfare (ISW).
Previously, ISW noted that it is important for Russian troops to carry out one-hour large-scale offensive operations, rather than carrying out offensive operations in “pulses” on different sections of the front, and the intensity of one sector changes, and the other sector is growing.
Throughout this summer, the occupiers periodically carried out mechanized assaults on the Limansky Chasivyarsky and Avdiivsky directions in the Donetsk region, and recently intensified the assaults on the approach and departure from Donetsk. Also, the Russians transferred units of the 90th tank division of the Central Military District (CVO) (41st Zagalnovian Army (OAA)) from Avdiivka for a late approach from Donetsk. Therefore, the Institute’s analysts believe that the Russian military command, without any tactical reach in the Avdiivka area, is changing its priority to Donetsk.
Russian troops, It’s important to direct additional mechanized forces from this area so that The weaknesses of the Ukrainian defense and the achievements of a strong territorial expansion, at least limited, throughout the summer of 2024, are predicted by ISW.
Changed goals
Previously, it was believed that the influx of Russian troops was planning to invade the territories of Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson and Zaporizia regions, but they, most likely, changed their plans after the establishment of the military The United States can help Ukraine in 2024.
The Russian military command can We intend to present mixed tactical offensives at the entrance of the Donetsk region, including cutting the Vugledar-Kostiantynivka highway, as great I will help the Russian people.
Spending armored vehicles to strengthen the Russian army in the long term
The readiness of the Russian military command will allow for the loss of armored vehicles without carrying out a large-scale, rich direct offensive operation or achieving significant operational successes in the western Donetsk region, It’s okay to strengthen the Russian army in the long term.
There is enough equipment to carry out periodic assaults, but it is unclear that the necessary reserves of armored vehicles are available for carrying out overnight large-scale offensive operations on small areas of the front and compensating for the increased costs of armored vehicles , which would result from the results of increased mechanization of operations.
Readiness The Russian military command will continue to exchange tactical achievements in exchange for the significant expenditure of armored vehicles, making all the treasures Russian armies will soon burn the reserves of spare parts and the possession of radyansky hours.
It seems that The Economist was cheering that the first two years of a large-scale invasion of Ukraine by the Russian Federation were spent close to 3,000 tanks and 5,000 other armored vehicles. In the face of the offensive, the editors think, the Russians will likely go on the defensive.
The Tavriya OSUV stated that the Russian occupiers do not have enough resources to conduct an effective, large-scale attack on the enemy directly.
At the same time, according to British intelligence, the Russians are constantly moving into the Donetsk region.
Read terminology and important information about Russia’s war against Ukraine on the RBC-Ukraine channel in Telegram.