The military operation in the border Kursk region will continue into the fourth quarter. The Russian side declares that the battle “is already being carried out 30 km from the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant” and 15 kilometers from another regional center – Lgov. Just now, Ukrainian analysts have for the first time identified the “siege” and “liberated” zones on the map of combat operations.
What is expected in the Kursk region for the fourth battle, maps and possible options for the military of the Russian Federation – collected by RBC-Ukraine in the material lower.
Location
- What is happening in the Kursk region: analytics, battle maps
- How Russia can act: what are the possible scenarios from ISW
For the rankings of the Russian media resource “Important Stories”, the battle zone has already extended to 800 square meters. km, and “under the strict control of the ZSU” it ranges up to 450 sq. km. Russia confirms that Ukrainian forces have entered approximately 30 km into the Russian corner and “occupied” or “taken by storm” 22 settlements, including two regional centers: Korenevo and Sudzhu.
The situation is developing “alarmingly” for Russians in yet another regional center – the town of Lgov, from which towns have already begun to emerge en masse. Russian Telegram channels write that Ukrainian military servicemen can “go not only to Kursk”, but also to the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant, which is located in the town of Kurchatov. It is noteworthy that from this settlement to the nearest place of fighting there were lost about 50 kilometers, although in the “Z-channels” we would write about 30 km. In addition, Russian activists write about the battles for Rilsk, which is also a regional center.
Photo : battles in the Kursk region are getting closer to the local nuclear power plant near Kurchatov (screenshot from deepstatemap)
What is happening in the Kursk region: analytics, battle maps
First from the beginning of the so-called “breakthrough” Ukrainian anal The original DeepState resource showing map of battles in the Kursk region. Fahivtsi identified settlements that Russia does not control in the region (the government announced the update for 6 Serpnya).
“Updates will be behind-the-scenes. This information may ultimately be shared with the evidence of direct participants,” DeepState explained.
According to analysts, the Ukrainian Defense Forces “recalled Sverdlikov “Oh, Dar'ino and Oleshnya.”
“The Defense Forces launched an attack on Sverdlikovo and Oleshnya. The first village was captured as a result of battle, and the other without battle with minimal effort,” the report goes.
According to the fakhivts, there are close to two platoons of enemies stationed at the Sudzha checkpoint. And the village of Gornal was also devastated.
“Advanced groups have reached Goncharivka and the outskirts of Sudzha. Fighting is in the Zeleniy Shlyakh area, the intensity is unknown. At Mykolayovo-Dar'ino, the supporter of the enemy of zooms is streaming the first surge, but not for long,” add DeepState.
Zagalom Along with the area of the “greened” territory on two plots, the area will be 72.74 sq. km and 70.25 sq. km. The “Sira” zone in the Kursk region covers an area of 110.71 sq. km.
Photo: DeepState first showed on the map the “evil” territory and the “serious” zone in the Kursk region for the first day of the operation (screenshot from deepstatemap)
The American Institute of Warfare (ISW) writes about the presence of Ukrainian troops in Russian areas located 35 kilometers from the internationally recognized border with the Sumy region of Ukraine.
“However, the Ukrainian forces, insanely, do not control the entire territory within the limits of Russia’s maximum statements about the penetration of Ukrainian troops near the Kursk region,” says ISW.
Photo: map of the Ukrainian settlement near the Kursk region from Radio Liberty (svoboda.org)
Springing on geolocated frames and Russian statements, analysts name directly where, most importantly Ukrainian troops could poke their heads in:
- Suja. Some Russian activists are confident, saying that the place is already “buried,” and others say that the Russians do not control more than part of the settlement.
- Milutino and Kromskie Biki (35 kilometers from the cordon). It is noteworthy that these villages are already included in the Lgovsky district of the Kursk region. This village on the ISW map is designated as the best point where the ZSU could get through.
- Ruske Porichne (on the street from Sudzhi). Ukrainian forces have obviously pushed their way into the village. Tim often writes that the Ukrainian military is moving away from the road 38K-024 near Anastasyevka.
- Goncharivka and Zaoleshenka. Apparently, the Ukrainian military is operating in the area of the first settlement and at the same time as the other. Some Russian bloggers are complaining about the “burial” of Goncharivka.
- Novoivanovka (10 km from the cordon). The geolocation photo shows that the Ukrainian forces are operating near this locality, although the Russians will again talk about the “burials” from Bogdanivka (at the end of the day from Sudzhi).
Also, ISW is making even lower Russian statements about the upcoming collapse of the Ukrainian forces. Having spoken, the Ukrainian forces also penetrated to Malaya Loknya and to the outskirts of the village of Cherkaske Porichne, as well as in the areas of Kruglenkoe, Martinivka, Velykyi Soldatskoe and Biel Mirny. Let's talk about the Sudzhansky district.
Russian military reports wrote about the attack in the area of the village of Snagost and near Olgivka. These settlements are included in the Korenivsky district.
Photo : on the ISW map it is possible to obtain a unique extension of the ZSU right up to the Milutino-Lgovsky district (understandingwar.org)
Wanting a Russian view of the “Agency”, which positions itself as an opposition to power, is firming up to Lgov 10 km were lost from the nearest point of battle.
Photo: map of battles as seen by “Agency” (agents.media)
How Russia can act: what are the possible scenarios from ISW
In the opinion of international analysts, the Russian military command is low More options act or report on the transcordon operation in the Kursk region. ISW calls several possible:
- First. The Russian Federation may rely on apparent conscripts, guards of the Federal Security Service (FSB), the Russian Guard and other irregular forces already deployed in the area of the international cordon, in order to push back the Ukrainian troops and be caught in the Ukrainian operation in the Kursk region.
- Other. Make a decision about the vikoristanny Pivnichnogo grouping of troops, flared up by the Russian-Ukrainian cordon.
- Third. Redeploy operational reserves accumulated for the planned offensive forces for the summer of 2024 and/or significantly better security and more armed advanced units to the Kursk region from other regions of the military theater action.
- Fourth. The Russian Federation may try to save forces, as it has seen for the Kursk region, otherwise it could redeploy a significant number of aircraft and attack aircraft from this area, trying to paint the buildings and turn the territory.
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I guess it’s September 6, 2024 fate after the massive shelling of the city of Sudzha, Russian ZMI and local authorities about the “break” of the cordon in the Sudzhansky and Korenivsky districts of the Kursk region of the Russian Federation.
From now on, the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation and the Russian FSB have confirmed that the breach has been “broken.” However, we learned over the years that fighting in the border area still bothers us. As a result of what happened, the Russian dictator Volodymyr Putin spoke out in response, declaring a “large-scale provocation” involving Ukraine.
It is significant that the Ukrainian military-political establishment did not confirm responsibility for the operation taking place in the Kursk region. President Volodymyr Zelensky went on to say that Russia is “guilty of war.” Ukraine’s partners also showed up immediately, but emphasized Kiev’s right to be protected in this manner.
More about the conditions in the border region of the Russian Federation – read the RBC-Ukraine article “Sirsky’s style. How the “Kursk Strait” can strengthen Ukraine’s negotiating position.”
During the preparation of the material, the following were reviewed: maps from the American Institute of War Studies (ISW), maps from the analytical resource DeepState, Telegram channel “Important Stories”, as well as other data from dzherel.
Read terms and important information about the war between Russia and Ukraine on the RBC-Ukraine channel on Telegram.