The Russian military command has been preparing the offensive operation for months until 2024 and has accumulated operational reserves and resources for її implementation. However, during the remaining months of intense combat operations, these resources have been rapidly shortened.
RBC-Ukraine reports this to the Institute of Warfare (ISW).
It appears that the herbs nі 2024 The Russian military is planning to create a new operational grouping of military forces from unused operational reserves numbering up to 70 thousand people. This grouping will not stop the offensive operation in the late Kharkov region, and also create operational reserves for the attack of the Central grouped army on the Pokrovsk inlet of this fate.
However, the Russian troops, most likely, spent a significant part of their reserves on the offensive operation in the late night of the Kharkov region, which went into a deep end, increasing the pace of the attack on the Pokrovsky direct and in the back part and the Donetsk region, as well as the confirmation of the Ukrainian invasion of the Kursk region.< /p>
ISW analysts say that the Russians will also continue to experience the loss of important armored vehicles during the great recent mechanized assaults along the entire front line, especially in the western part of the Donetsk region. The military forces of the Russian Federation have, apparently, accumulated a large amount of equipment for such mechanized assaults. However, the significant mid-term depletion of Russian armored vehicle stocks will become more significant due to the increased costs and may cause the Russian military command to reconsider the benefits of continuing such intensive efforts. new mechanized activity in Ukraine.
This also means that the continuation of significant losses of Russian troops in the Donetsk region and the further redeployment of Russian troops to the Kursk region will weaken Russia’s military presence and encourage offensive operations prices at the annual gathering and gathering of Ukraine. Although the Institute’s analysts respect that, in all likelihood, the Russian armies will continue to reduce offensive activity on less priority areas of the front, but will continue to work evenly ii front
“The current Russian offensive operation in 2024 is likely to culminate in the coming month. However, the Russian troops, no less, can continue to carry out the offensive No operations are taking place at a much slower pace throughout the entire territory of Ukraine. do not allow the ZSU to accumulate manpower and resources necessary for launching initiatives on everything theaters of military operations,” says ISW.
Key findings
- Russian offensive efforts at the gathering of Ukraine, which began in the spring of 2023, will continue to give progressive tactical advances to the Kremlin on their plots to the front, and other significant operations reach, surely, there will be no.
- The Ukrainian troops conduct an effective deep defense along the front line, at great cost to the Russian troops, completely sacrificing territory, rather than allowing the occupiers to achieve greater successes on the battlefield .
- Ukrainian forces are really facing serious operational calls and exchanges, how to give Russian forces the opportunity to achieve tactically significant successes.
- However, Russian forces do not have sufficient manpower and material resources to sustain the offensive intensification indefinitely, and the ongoing Russian offensive operations in the convergence of Ukraine, , will reach a climax in the coming months, which is no less important, as previously assessed by Ukrainian officials and ISW experts .
- Russian armies have recently achieved significant tactical successes, but have not demonstrated the ability to desire something important from an operational point of view of the object.
- The Russian military command continues to prioritize offensive operations on priority areas of the front line over long-term campaign plans in the theater of military operations in Ukraine, aka the Ukrainian invasion of Kurs Ku region, it seems, has significantly complicated the development of Russia's operational reserves.
- It seems that Russian dictator Vladimir Putin victorious program to support veterans “Heroes Hour” for the militarization of regional and local power administrations and the further suppression of war-war ideology in the Russian state and succession.
- The Russian authorities continue to arrest the Soviets on charges of incompetence and corruption in the Ministry of Defense.
- It is reported that on the 3rd anniversary there were attacks on an ammunition depot near the Russian army Ibase Khmeim in the province of Latakia in Syria.
- Russian occupiers recently opened up on the day of Seversk and on the day of descent from Pokrovsk in Donetsk region.
- The Russian government continues the nationalization of Russian enterprises for the benefit of the federal order.
The situation at the front
For days, the Russian military has occupied the place of Vugledar near Donetsk this region. There was no sharpening of the Ukrainian forces, no serious losses were recorded among the ZSU. The defense forces were deployed to conserve special stock and equipment.
According to the data of the ISW, buried by the aggressor Vugledar, the further process of offensive operations in the Donetsk region cannot be fundamentally changed.
The strength of the Russians is still showing at Donetsk Lugansk regions.
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