In exactly one month, the 5th of November, the United States will have presidential elections.
< p>RBC-Ukraine reveals how the races between candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are going, what their ratings are and what you can look for in the rest of the world.
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Ratings of candidates
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Strategies candidates
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Vice Presidential Debates
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Yellow surprises
There is exactly a month left before the US presidential election. The dramatic turns that took place during the pre-election campaign can now be turned into a state-of-the-art blockbuster. Apparently, it’s not over yet, and the teams of both candidates, Donald Trump and Kamali Harris, are saving what they have for the end.
Ratings of candidates
In the United States, the ratings of candidates were actually equal. Emerson College's second-year poll shows that 50% of voters support Kamala Harris, as do 48% of Donald Trump. One hundred encourages someone else, and another one is not included.
Studying in the key “cunning” states will clearly show the equality between the statistical losses.
For the study of The New York Times/Siena College in Michigan, Harris takes 48%, Trump – 47%.< /p>
Wisconsin Harris leads Trump by 2 points with a result of 49% to 47%.
According to Fox News polling, Pennsylvania leads both candidates 49% of the votes each.
Trump is ahead in Northern Carolina Harris with minimal wind – 50% versus 49%.
In this case, the majority of portals, which are based on socialization, indicate the candidates' slim chances of victory, while giving a small advantage to Harris.
Candidates' strategy
The strategies of both candidates were clearly revealed during the hour of their debate on April 10. Harris focused on the emotion of joy, as if to give herself a new, exciting political figure. At the same time, it distanced itself from the failures of the official administration and strengthened the opponent’s weaknesses. Trump, betting on the emotion of anger and criticizing Harris for the failures in the vice-president’s election and the inconsistency of messages, and even from the rich food, he changed his mind to a protracted one.
All this together beware . At the same time, both candidates will continue to roam around the cities and towns of the United States and focus on their crowning themes.
Trump, as before, exploits the problems of illegal migration and the economy. This is how one tries to get voters who have not yet been identified – representatives of the middle class and blacks from the “cunning” states of the “Black Wall” – Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. To top it all off, Trump gave a speech to Newsweek about the new American industrialism.
The key tools that he advocates are protectionism, subsidy benefits for producers in the United States, incentives for foreigners to purchase strategic enterprises, support for investments in technological leadership, sharply accelerated migration, fragments of migrants take away jobs from blacks and Latin Americans.
In the tricky states of the Sleepy Belt – Nevada, Arizona and Georgia – Trump began to put an emphasis on illegal migration to boost the economy. The main message can be described as: “illegal migrants are taking jobs from Latinos who came to the United States legally.” As a result, the level of support for Trump among Hispanics is close to 40%. This is even more important, having taken away from this group of voters in the 2020 cohort. Just 33% of Hispanics voted for Trump.
Harris, who has previously championed the issue of abortion and the importance of democracy, also places a premium on the mobilization of minorities. And again, she presented a detailed economic program for voters who have not yet been announced.
The plan, called “A New Path to Development for the Middle Class,” on 82 pages, significantly concretizes the policy that Harris had already envisioned during the election campaign. Vіn transfers low tax rates – new owners of small businesses will receive 50 thousand. dollars USA. Those who buy a living first will have to subtract the premium by 25 thousand. dollars, young fathers take away 6 thousand. dollars in the first river of his child’s life.
Biden's pro-profit policy will be continued until the paradigm of the economy changes, but mainly due to the elimination of obvious costs that were already seen by Congress in the past. It is transferring tax credits for strategic interests, such as biotechnology and aerospace, which will pay for the increase in corporate tax rates.
At the moment, Harris' team is still limiting media access to the candidate. During the hour of the campaign, she gave an interview, although she actively speaks at rallies.
Vice Presidential Debates
Year 1, another debate took place, this time between the candidates for US Vice President Tim Walz and JD Vance. During the Trump and Harris debates, the candidates showed tact.
Traditionally, it is important for vice presidential debates to focus on domestic issues. Migration, the economy, abortion, and the general problem of conflict in schools – these are the things that both candidates discussed. Moreover, they were afraid of the friendly atmosphere, and did not criticize one another. Natomist, Vance, and Walz attacked Harris and Trump head-on.
J.D. Vance and Tim Walz during the hour of the debate (photo: Getty Images)
The topic of Ukraine was not raised at the debate, although the speakers were offended by little to say. Previously, Vance had made a number of harsh statements about Ukraine and then presented his version of the “peace plan,” which essentially means the capitulation of Ukraine. Currently, the Harris team is more focused on statements, which was evident during the recent visit of the President of Ukraine to the United States..
Wanting the most noticeable work on the amends, a team of Republicans carried out a team of Republicans, both participants in the debate raised their voices about the foods that have the strongest stench. Also, immediately after the debate, 42% said they respected Vence as a winner, 41% – Walz. 17% said nothing. 60% said Walz would be ready for the debate, 55% said the same as Vence.
According to observers, Vance spoke more clearly about the economy (51% versus 49%) and immigration (52% versus 48%). Walz is pro-abortion (62% vs. 38%) and health care (59% vs. 41%). The types of candidates for nutrition and the situation at the Close Gathering satisfied, however, a large number of observers.
Zagalom, 42% gave victory to Wence and 41% to Walz. After the debate, the Democrat added 8% to his rating, while the Republican changed his anti-rating from 54% to 47%.
The main point of the debate is the beginning of the transformation of J.D. Vance from a radical to a faded candidate in the eyes of the electorate.
Lifelike surprises
In the history of elections in the United States, during the month before the vote, there are regularly discussed factors that have a significant impact on the outcome of the elections: both “home preparations” of candidates and “black swans” from objective reality. Already now two parties are claiming or laying claim to those who would have become such lifelong surprises.
One of them started a fire. Dockers at the US shipping ports voted the highest strike for 50 years with a possible increase in wages. If it dragged on for too long, it could have caused problems for the coronavirus: empty police at stores, price cuts for exporters and slashing of prices. Through ports blocked by retailers, the United States receives approximately 50% of its food imports. However, 4 workers with the dockers decided to ask about the strike.
The other story is connected with the Near Gathering. On Wednesday 23rd, Israel launched a large-scale military operation against Hezbollah after continuing shelling. The ground phase of the operation in Lebanon began at the beginning of the war, when Hezbollah sponsor Iran launched a missile attack on Israel, which increased the risk of the beginning of a large-scale war between Israel and Iran.
This is to put the US military bases in the entire region under attack. On the other hand, American troops assisted in defeating the attack on Israel. The Biden administration clearly states that it will protect Israel, but it demoralizes Arab voters who live compactly in the “cunning” states of Michigan and Georgia.
Before that, it is possible to realize that the teams of both candidates in the last month before the elections will pull out their preparations, or win those poor voters who did not vote, and also maximize turnout “ours” electors.
It seems likely that Volodymyr Zelensky will visit the United States on business and present a plan to help Ukraine to the venerable US President Joe Biden, as well as presidential candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.
When the material was written Sociological research data and publications from CNN, Newsweek, Bloomberg, ABC, CBC, Politico, Axios, PRweek, BBC were selected.