Hurricanes were occurring in the United States, through which the regional president, Joe Biden, canceled his trip to Ramstein. And Donald Trump is actively promoting a natural disaster for his own electoral interests.
RBC-Ukraine reveals how various “black swans” in the remaining month before the US presidential election will determine their result.
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Hurricanes as a yellow surprise 2024 fate
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Other applications of “yellow surprises”
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The effect is always obvious
Hurricanes as a yellow surprise 2024 fate
At the start of the rainy season, the United States was devastated by several hurricanes. This is a very difficult time for the United States, so hurricanes are destined to pass through the smoldering presidential campaign. Zokrema, through Hurricane Milton, the dignified US President Joe Biden made an important visit to the German Ramstein. Candidates like US Vice President Kamala Harris and Donald Trump also take the hurricane factor into account. Even if Vlad’s inheritance is a bad thing, it can affect the mood of the voters. Zokrema, let's talk about the tricky states of Georgia and Northern Carolina, which suffered from hurricanes.
“The topic of Hurricane Milton is on the forefront of the minds of all American minds. A decade before the start of the elections, this is a major outcry for the current administration, as far as And help will never be enough in this way. “This is a wonderful field for criticism from the side of the opposition,” Maxim Skripchenko, President of the Center for Transatlantic Dialogue, said in a commentary to RBC-Ukraine.
To identify the events that are being raped under the veil of the election campaign, the United States has a special term – “lifelong surprises.”
Other applications of “lifelong surprises”
This concept became popular during the presidential elections of 1980.
Before that, the Islamic revolution broke out in Iran , during the course of which the new government seized the American embassy and took the US citizens into custody.
By all means, the current President Jimmy Carter of the United States was able to obtain more guarantors for the election itself, but none came to fruition. This failure was one of the reasons why Ronald Reagan lost his life in prison. The guarantors were released for treatment shortly after the inauguration of the new US President Ronald Reagan. Later, there were rumors that the Reagan team had entered into a deal with Iran in order to keep the guarantors until the end of the elections.
In the 2008 elections, Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama were doomed. A surprise at the sight of the economic crisis of that fate came soon – at the spring.
The Dow Jones stock index fell by 18% in the first quarter of the year. Having bankrupted one of the largest US banks, Lehman Brothers, and even smaller others, the authorities faced great difficulties. At the beginning of the year, unemployment has sharply increased.
Before this, McCain's one-party member George W. Bush had two terms in the White House. Also, the republican was affected by the failures of his predecessors. Barack Obama became the new President of the United States.
During the 2016 campaign, with Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton vying for the presidency, there were few surprises each year.
I’ll start with a video recording from 2005, in which Donald Trump disrespectfully sang about women. Immediately after this publication, nearly a dozen American women showed up, insisting that the politician was at different times either trying to get away with it or letting go of their hands. He himself categorically threw out all the blame.
Over the years, Clinton also withstood the blow to her reputation. The WikiLeaks website launched a two-month campaign from the publicization of electronic sheets. At the State Secretary's seat, she vikorized a private e-mail for service listing. What is important is that the US Attorney General has initiated an investigation against Clinton. Before the scandal, Clinton was leading in the ratings, but she completely lost the election to Trump.
The effect is not always obvious
It is clear that, despite the negative effect of life's surprises, the candidates managed to keep the harm from them to a minimum.
In 2000 years, Republican George Bush is practically on equal terms with Democrat El Gore. But five days before the elections, news appeared about the fact that in 1976 Bush was arrested for drunkenness. His team clearly stated that Gore’s headquarters had specially removed this fact as a preparation in order to cause as much mischief as possible.
Gore's headquarters said that they had not prepared anything special, and no one could later bring the Democrats to justice. However, Bush did not realize that he had problems with alcohol consumption, and such generosity did not really sway the voters. The elections ended with practically equal results, but the republic managed to win with a very small advantage.
At the hour of the 1936 campaign, the key voices were the voices of the black population. On June 28, there was a resonant incident that created a threat to the dignified US President Franklin Delano Roosevelt.
Just before one of the spies, Stephen Earl, entered New York, two policemen were stopping him. During the emotional battle, he hit one of the policemen with a knee in the groin. Officer James Sloan showed up black. It was also clear that Yerli was the leader of the Confederate general during a huge war in the United States. The Confederation advocated preserving slavery for the blacks, so the situation became symbolic.
Two days before the election, Roosevelt tried to turn the situation around by voting for the creation of an air force skis that formed with the blacks (Tuskegee Airmen) , and also for the first time in US history, awarding the black man the rank of brigadier general. In fact, Roosevelt became president for the third time, having wasted only a small hundred of the votes of African Americans.
At the time of writing the material, publications from Reuters, CNN, Fox News, history.com and the president's comments to the Center were used. transatlantic dialogue of Maxim Skripchenko.
Guess what, RBC-Ukraine wrote about the balance between the two key candidates in the US elections at the beginning of the harvest, a month before voting day.