The recent UN forecast about the reduction of the population of Ukraine to 15 million people by 2100 caused a wide resonance and heated discussions in society and among specialists.
This information was reported by the telegram channel “Operational Armed Forces of Ukraine”, reports “URA-Inform”.
Optimism of experts
Alexander Gladun expressed doubts about such a gloomy forecast, emphasizing that it was developed taking into account current unfavorable conditions, including war and the lack of an active demographic policy.
“In my opinion, this is one of the most pessimistic forecasts for our state. It was probably developed taking into account the war and the absence of any demographic policy measures,” Gladun noted.
Possible scenarios
The specialist also offered his view on the future of Ukraine's demography. In his opinion, even in the worst case, the population will be reduced to 25 million citizens. “In my opinion, the most pessimistic forecast for Ukraine in the long term is a reduction of up to 25 million citizens. But even if the population begins to decline rapidly, it will be replaced by people who will migrate from other countries,” explained Gladun.
Migration as a factor of stabilization
An interesting aspect in Gladun's forecasts is the role of migration. The specialist believes that the influx of migrants from other countries can compensate for the population decline and even contribute to its growth. This phenomenon is already observed in a number of European countries, where migration plays a key role in maintaining population size and economic stability.
Conclusion
UN forecast of a sharp a reduction in Ukraine's population to 15 million by 2100 is one of many scenarios that take into account current negative factors. However, experts such as Alexander Gladun urge not to take it as a final verdict. It is important to take into account the possibility of a change in the situation due to active demographic policy and migration processes, which can significantly change the picture in the future.
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