The failed assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump, as well as his successful debate performance, significantly affected his chances of winning .
This information is reported by Neue Zürcher Zeitung, reports URA-Inform.
At the same time, discussions continue in the Democratic Party about the advisability of replacing Joe Biden as a candidate. Biden's poor performance at the debate has already affected the bookmaker's odds: his chances of winning have dropped significantly. The failed assassination attempt on the ex-president, as well as the successful debate for him, significantly affected the odds: Trump's chances of being elected exceeded 60%.
Among Biden's possible successors, Vice President Kamala Harris and California Governor Gavin Newsom appear to be the most promising candidates. First, Newsom's chances of being elected increased significantly, then Harris even surpassed Biden in ratings.
The first polls after the debate show Trump slightly ahead of Biden, although four years ago Biden had a significant lead. How the assassination attempt on Trump will affect the polls will become clear in the coming days.
It is noted that at this stage, both bookmaker odds and polls do not matter much, since much can still change. What's more important is not the national polls, but the number of electoral votes that decide the outcome of the election.
States such as Michigan, Georgia and Pennsylvania are key in the US presidential election. To win, you need to get 270 electoral votes. In some states it is already clear who will win, in others the trend can be determined. Trump nearly won a majority of the electoral votes, according to studies.
After the debate, Georgia and Arizona moved into the category of states leaning Republican. Biden's ratings are worse than those of his predecessors at the same stage of the presidency, which is due to his age at 81; even his own voters consider him too old to effectively fulfill the duties of president.
Recall that it was previously reported that Zelensky thinks about Trump's presidency: the leader of Ukraine made a confession.
