Analysts at the American Institute for the Study of War noted that after the significant losses suffered by the private military company Wagner in Mali, the Russian authorities will probably demand a large-scale replacement of the militants with servicemen from the African Corps of the Russian Defense Ministry, part of which is currently in Ukraine.
This information was reported by ISW, as reported by URA-Inform.
The institute's experts noted that some Russian military officials claim that the aggressor country's Defense Ministry is gloating over the losses of Wagner mercenaries in Mali and assume that the Russian military leadership will use this incident to stop the deployment of Wagner militants in the Sahel.
In particular, the Russian Federation assumes that the personnel of the African Corps will completely replace the Wagner troops in the entire Sahel Troika (Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger). However, analysts noted that the African Corps currently probably does not have enough forces to completely replace the Wagner troops, since some elements of their corps were deployed in Ukraine to participate in the Russian offensive operations in the north of the Kharkiv region.
“A large-scale replacement of Wagner after losses such as those inflicted during the recent ambush will likely lead to the redeployment of some African Corps fighters in Mali away from the front lines in Ukraine. And the Russian military command probably does not consider the complete replacement of Wagner in Mali or anywhere else in the Sahel as a priority task at the present time,” the Institute noted.
Recall that earlier it was reported that Malian rebels killed dozens of Wagnerites: a well-known propagandist was killed.