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Ukraine retains the chances of the return of the Zaporizhzhya nuclear power plant (ZAES), but Russia can use it as a pressure lever in negotiations, political scientist Igor Babyuk said.
This is reported by Ura-Inform with reference to Gazeta.ua.
In his opinion, the retention of the station brings more difficulties than the benefits.
« Retaining the ZAES to the Russian energy system is an extremely difficult task. Moreover, the maintenance of the station requires significant resources. Therefore, within the framework of possible territorial agreements, the ZAES can play a key role »,-the expert explained.
is a territorial exchange possible?
Political scientist noted the probability of territory exchange, recalling that the Ukrainian military controls part of the Kursk region.
< P>« Kursk region is a bargain factor. Russia will have to sacrifice something to return it. Perhaps they will agree to leave part of the Kharkov region, because the areas are approximately equivalent to », ”said Babyuk.
At the same time, he suggests that the Kremlin in the negotiations will insist on full control of Donetsk and the Lugansk regions, as well as maintaining strategic access to Crimea.
« Moscow will not give way to the water supply of Crimea, which means that it will retain positions in the southern part of the Zaporizhzhya region – Berdyansk, Melitopol and other cities. It makes no sense to talk about the return of Crimea to Ukraine. The maximum that you can count on is the liberation of territories captured after February 24, 2022. And even this scenario is in question »,-the expert emphasized.
will there be quick negotiations?
on soon diplomatic settlement It’s not worth calculating, says Babyuk.
« The main goal is now Stop bloodshed and create a demilitarized zone. However, according to the Institute for the Study of War, Putin is still unprofitable for negotiations, since his army retains the initiative. Therefore, we are waiting for a difficult and protracted process », ”the political scientist summed up.
We recall that it was previously reported about how Trump will finish the war in Ukraine: Senator Graham spoke about the plans of the US president.
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