The German government has noted a number of prerequisites indicating that the war unleashed by the Russian Federation against Ukraine could end before the end of this year.
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As NBN reports, citing the Bild Telegram channel, which published the German government’s “internal analysis,” the Kremlin will likely refrain from waging war this year, as it is sending a corresponding signal to Russian society and the international community.
According to journalists, one of the factors that allows us to draw such conclusions is the deterioration of the economic situation in the Russian Federation: interest rates in banks and the cost of food have increased. In addition, over the past 5 months, the ruble has devalued significantly, losing more than 20 percent of its value compared to the euro.
Also, the 3-shift operation of the Russian “defense industry” (military-industrial complex) is no longer able to hide the crisis impact in other industries: in 2024, growth in this sector of the Russian economy was about 4 percent, then in 2025 the expected dynamics will not exceed 1 percent.
In addition to all of the above, Berlin has recorded additional signs indicating a possible “capitulation” of the Russian Federation: preparation The Kremlin's “post-war” election campaign (elections to the Russian State Duma are planned for September 2026).
At the same time, the German Foreign Ministry clarified that the German government still fears that the war in Ukraine will continue contrary to forecasts, since “Putin is currently not seriously interested in peace talks and sustainable peace.”
Earlier, we wrote that Zelensky announced when he plans to meet with Trump.