В the autumn-winter period in Ukraine the energy situation can vary significantly depending on many factors, including the intensity of attacks on the energy sector and weather conditions. According to the optimistic scenario, power outages of up to 12 hours a day are possible. In the case of an unfavorable scenario, when the problems are more acute , outages can last up to 20 hours a day.
This was reported by URA-Inform, citing the Central Power Distribution Center.
Expert of the Institute of Energy Strategies Yuriy Korolchuk considers various scenarios for the development of the situation in the energy sector. sector. According to an optimistic forecast, if 8-9 nuclear power plant units operate stably and the winter is mild, it will be possible to restore about 3 GW of the 6 GW of damaged capacity. This will reduce the outage time to 12 hours per day.
In a pessimistic scenario, with the restoration of only 2,000 megawatts of power, 6-7 operating nuclear power units and a cold winter, the system may encounter serious problems. In the most unfavorable case , if attacks on energy infrastructure continue, citizens will have to do without electricity and heating for up to 20 hours a day.
It is worth noting that next winter could be even more difficult.
We also reported about how tired Ukrainians are of the war: a closed social survey showed a sad result.