Peak electricity shortage in Ukraine during winter 2024-2025 And we become 3-4 gigawatts. We are also focusing less on the most important sectors – health, defense, etc.
The intercessor of the head of the IMF mission in Ukraine, Trevor Lessard, reports this to RBC-Ukraine in an interview with his agency.” Interfax -Ukraine.”
“We see a potential peak energy deficit of around 3-4 gigawatts. Of course, this figure varies greatly depending on how cold the winter will be. It’s hard to imagine, and also because there are a lot of installation and repair jobs happening at the same time. This is also the assessment that there is great volatility,” said Vin.
In conclusion, it is important to say what this growth means for the Ukrainian economy. Nutrition is not less than how much effort for generating and how much can be imported, but also from drinking.
“Also nutrition, as it will be even more difficult to figure out, and you also see a lot of commentators who are turbulent about winter: there is a real shortage of electricity, this shortage will affect the distribution of the entire economy, and it is likely that there will be no distribution evenly,” added Lessard.
The IMF representative recalled that the Ukrainian authorities had previously stated that because of the shortage of electricity, they would certainly give priority to critically important sectors of the economy. liv on GDP may not be the same great, fragments of stench could supply electricity for the most important sectors – health, defense, etc., – explained Lessard.
Import of electricity
As the IMF representative noted, at the same time One part of the solution is to try to close the energy gap and import from Europe. There is also a technological limit on the amount of electricity that Ukraine can import
In other words, the greatest technological pressure at a time is 2-2.1 GW, which is “nothing”. “If you look at the size of similar European economies, then 2 gigabytes is a waste of rounding from the point of view of current energy consumption,” he said. You can show up in the limits, including new generation of “green” energy.
“So any import is of great importance. And I guess you are thinking: more people would like it because it is technologically advanced Perhaps it would be bad to increase imports, since there is a stable supply, a safe supply, which can be insured, connected to the limit. “Also, in the winter period, it is important to see how it goes beyond 2.1 GW – the maximum that Ukraine can import from Europe,” he said.
It seems likely that the IMF has recently assessed the winter energy shortage in Ukraine neither in 3-4 GW, which “corresponds to estimates of other closed sides”, in which negative risks through missile attacks and seasonal factors are taken into account.
