Russian penetration at the entrance of the Donetsk region may become operationally significant, if not The command of the Russian Federation by the right ranks is based on its recent tactical successes, which does not guarantee the development of the approach.
RBC-Ukraine reports this in a message to the Institute for the Prevention of War (ISW).
U zviti It is understood that the offensive actions of the Russians at the end of the Donetsk region do not mean the automatic collapse of the Ukrainian front.
The recent mechanized attacks of the Russian Federation with elements of the airborne assault troops (ADV) on the descent from Vugledar seem to be consistent with the mechanized attacks of the Agricultural District (SVO) of Bil. Velyka Novosilki. This further confirms the assessment of the ISW that the SVO and the DShV are about to conduct comprehensive offensive operations in this sector at the entrance of the Donetsk region.
At the Institute of Reconstruction, It is important that the presence of the Russian troops until further advance to the cordons of the Zaporizhzhya and Dnipropetrovsk regions is important in order to continue the command of the Russian Shidnogo and Pivdenny military district successfully coordinate combat operations on their plots to the front.
In addition, it seems likely that the Russian troops will be able to achieve all their operational goals, the Russian troops will need to cover 8 thousand km2 of territory in order to to reach the treasure designated by Moscow – the burial of the entire Donetsk region.
The potential for the penetration of Russian troops into the current retreat of the Dnipropetrovsk region, based on historical data about Russia’s offensive, is unlikely to be rapid and will not threaten the central Ukrainian military objects and great cities will continue the campaign for the collection of 2024-2025.
“The Ukrainian theater of military actions is great, and the tactical successes of Russia at the decline of the Donetsk region are not to blame for causing supernatural panic in the short term. The successes of the Russian Federation will be deprived of the tactical, Russian The military has not yet achieved operational maneuver on the battlefield. None of the Russian offensive operations may not reach their operational goals, as happened during the first Russian frontal attacks on Chasiv Yar and Pokrovsk on the cob. 2024 rock”, – mean in ISW.
Threat of the extremity of Velika Novosilka
The ISW noted that the Russian armies will continue to achieve great tactical successes as they enter the Donetsk region and are approaching the extremity of Velika Novosilka and connecting to important Ukrainian land lines that will ensure the exit of the Donetsk region and lead to similar areas of the Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhzhya regions.
Published 24 leaf fall geolocation images show how the divisions of the Russian 5th Tank Brigade (36th AK, Similar Military District (SVO)) reach the similar outskirts of Velyka Novosilka on similar to the cordon of Donetsk and Zaporizhzhya regions.
A number of Russian military bloggers confirm that the Russian military has also woken up for the last rally and the last day descent from the Great Novosilki. According to reports, Russian troops of the SVO, supporting the 2nd battalion of the 37th motorized rifle brigade (36th AK, SVO), are poking around on the outskirts of Velyka Novosilka.
Occupation of Kurakhov and foreign forces
The Russian military will also continue to make efforts to eliminate the slight delay on the exit from the O0510 Kurakhove-Velyka Novosilka road (to the daytime exit from Kurakhova and to the daytime exit from Vugledar). The geolocation frames collected on the 25th leaf fall indicate those that formed the Russian 5th motorized rifle brigade (51st Zagalnovian Army (ZVA), former 1st Army Corps of Donetsk of the People's Republic (AK “DPR”)) reached Peremogi Street in the center of Kurakhovoy.
A number of Russian military bloggers said on the 25th leaf fall that the Russian troops buried Romanivka (on the day of descent from Vugledar) And additional positions were created in the fields near the settlement.
This report indicates that the ISW does not directly confirm that Russian troops are operating within Romanivka. However, the published 24 leaf fall geolocation frames demonstrate two sides of the Russian platoon mechanized attack on the descent from Romanivka, Illinka and Antonivka, which indicates that During these attacks, the Russian troops pushed their way towards Romanivka.
Following reports, a mechanized attack on Antonivka was carried out by the 33rd motorized rifle regiment (20th motorized rifle division (8th AK, Pivdenny military district [PdVO]). Russian bloggers indicate that Russian forces in this area are concentrating on ensuring that the Ukrainian troops approach the direction of Kostiantinopolsky (in the evening approach from Vugledara).
Options for further actions of the Russians
Previously, ISW had already assessed that the Russian military command has a number of potential options for actions on this front. Russian health services 24 and 25 leaf fall indicate two different options – try to get in at the entrance of the H15 highway to the Andriivka-Kostyantynopil line from Kurakhova and try Russia will bypass Velyka Novosilka and threaten Ukrainian positions at the meeting of the Zaporizhzhya region.
“Russian troops have already conquered the positions along the road H15 at the junction of Kurakhova and, obviously, they will conquer the new positions along the street Pobeda (which goes perpendicular to the road H15) for the future blocking and passing through the entrance through Kurakhov and the return of N15 in the direction of Dachny and Andriivka (offense at the entry from Kurakhov),” – the informant says.
Recent passage of the Russian troops to the street Peremogi in the center of Kurakhovoy Please note that Russian troops are moving about 15 km away from Andriyivka.
Both Russian military bloggers and Ukrainian military observer Kostyantin Mashovets identified Andriivka as a Russian operational target for approaching Kurakhovoy. This is due to the fact that the occupation of Andriivka will give the Russian troops a strong position, from which they will be able to round up Lantsyug settlements along the O0510 highway for a daylight approach. outdoor descent from Vugledar.
The Russian troops can continue to move at the entrance of the H15 highway in the direction of Andriivka, simultaneously attacking the deployment of the ZSU on the ground exit from Vugledar along the line Uspenivka-Ganivka-Romanivka, with the intention of confusion, the Ukrainian armies will enter the sunset to leave the country.
“Such a maneuver could allow the Russian troops to want to take tactical positions in this area and align the front line from Sontsivka (at the final approach from Kurakhov) to Kostyantinopolsky, placing Russian troops are approximately 23 km away from the cordon of the Donetsk and Dnipropetrovsk regions at the closest point,” says the Institute of Warfare.
Suvannya of the military forces of the Russian Federation in the Donetsk region
Russian military forces You will be able to quickly get out of the way at the end of the Donetsk region and will burst into more populated areas. The gate may have come closer to Pokrovsk, and from the side of the already buried Vugledar – to the town of Velika Novosilka.
The Institute of Military Affairs noted that the Russians were stuck at the buried gathering of Ukraine In the fall of 2024, there is a lot of fate that is the result of the identification and tactful suppression of spillovers in the positions of the ZSU.
Newly mobilized Russian troops are populating the cabins in populated areas Velikonovosilkovsky district.
At this hour, the Great Novosiltsa itself has completed half of its budynkas. Residents of the city practically do not leave the basement.
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