The Washington Institute for the Study of War analyzed the impact of the future liberation of Crimea from Russian invaders on the course of the war in Ukraine. American analysts explained how the situation at the front will change after the de-occupation of the peninsula.
The ISW analytical material notes that with the deoccupation of Crimea, Ukraine’s defense costs and tasks will significantly decrease. In addition, as experts write, thanks to the liberation of the peninsula and the territories of the south of the country, Nikolaev, Odessa and Kherson will be safe, NBN reports.
In this scenario, the Institute for the Study of War also predicts a reduction in the risk of the occupiers conducting landing operations on the southwest coast of the country. In addition, the threat of missile attacks from the “second army of the world” on ships through the western part of the Black Sea will be reduced.
American analysts drew attention to the fact that Mariupol is the only large front-line city in southern Ukraine, which makes it difficult for defenders to de-occupy the region .
Earlier, Budanov commented on the forecasts regarding the entry of the Ukrainian Armed Forces into Crimea in 2023.