Newspaper logo  
Local Gov’t Stories, Events


Ref. : Civic Events

Ref. : Arts & Education Events

Ref. : Public Service Notices

Books, Films, Arts & Education

Ref. : Letters to the editor

Health Care & Environment

10.28 We must protect the Grand Canyon before time runs out

10.28 Let’s Treat Our Patients, Not Trick Them with Private Insurance

10.27 UK public support for fracking falls to lowest level

10.27 10 years on from the Stern report: a low-carbon future is the 'only one available'

10.27 The Kolkata dump that's permanently on fire: 'Most people die by 50'

10.27 World on track to lose two-thirds of wild animals by 2020, major report warns

10.27 With New Study in Hand, Pennsylvanians Reiterate Call for Fracking Ban

10.26 Big Pharma Preps to Spend Hundreds of Millions to Keep Drug Prices High [less corrupt countries have price controls...]

10.26 'Get the Insurance Companies the Hell Out' of Healthcare System

10.26 Australia's coal seam gas emissions may be vastly underestimated – report

10.26 What is causing the rapid rise in methane emissions?

10.26 What is causing the rapid rise in methane emissions?

10.26 Dutch unveil giant outside vacuum cleaner to filter dirty air

10.25 Stand Up to Big Pharma Greed. Vote Yes on Proposition 61

10.25 Report Shows 'Bold New Vision' for Carbon-Free Transportation System Is Possible

10.25 Antibiotic waste is polluting India and China's rivers; big pharma must act

10.25 Renewables made up half of net electricity capacity added last year

10.25 Standing Rock: Police Arrest 120+ Water Protectors as Dakota Access Speeds Up Pipeline Construction [11:00 video]

10.25 Actor Shailene Woodley on Her Arrest, Strip Search and Dakota Access Pipeline Resistance [10:00 video]

News Media Matters

10.27 Swat Team

10.26 'Fascination with sex': Megyn Kelly and Newt Gingrich in angry clash over Trump coverage [3:47 video]

Daily: FAIR Blog
The Daily Howler

US Politics, Policy & 'Culture'

10.28 Media Roll Out Welcome Mat for ‘Humanitarian’ War in Syria [she's competitively bad on the military and Wall Street...]

10.28 Hillary Clinton: A Hawk in the Wings

10.28 FCC Passes Sweeping Internet Privacy Rules in 'Big Win for Civil Rights'

10.27 Three races to watch: Forget the White House and even Congress — the battle for the statehouses is on

10.27 Gov. Christie’s Shadow Over Bridgegate

10.27 #ThanksPaul: Bernie Sanders goes all in for down-ballot Democrats, to the dismay of Paul Ryan

10.27 The Real Living Wage? $17.28 An Hour – At Least

10.26 More than just the guns: Poverty and inequality should be blamed for America’s gun violence

10.26 Rising Student Debt Places Living Wage Even Farther Out of Reach: Report

10.26 'Terrifying': AT&T Spying on Americans for Profit, New Documents Reveal

10.25 Free to Plunder: The Case Against Gary Johnson and Libertarianism

10.25 This Atlas of Racial Equity Just Keeps Getting Better [map graphics]

10.25 Elizabeth Warren: 'nasty women' will defeat Trump on election day [videos]

Justice Matters

10.27 Ted Cruz suggests delaying nomination of Supreme Court justice to replace Antonin Scalia indefinitely

10.27 Amidst Law Enforcement Crackdown, DAPL Company Warns Water Protectors: Get Out, Or Else

10.26 Enough is enough: we've reached a tipping point on sexual assault

10.26 Pussy Riot celebrate the vagina in lyrical riposte to Trump [4:30 video]

10.25 Chris Christie Is Over

10.25 Officer who shot Samuel DuBose faces murder trial as city braces for protests [4:51 video]

High Crimes?

10.27 Idlib school attack could be deadliest since Syrian war began, says UN

10.25 Islamic State atrocities reported around Mosul, says UN

Economics, Crony Capitalism

10.28 The carbon bubble: why investors can no longer ignore climate risks

10.28 Too Big to Fail, Hillary-Style [she's mostly competent but has big blindspots]

10.28 The Billionaire Class Is Terrified That Russ Feingold Will Return to the Senate

10.27 10 years on from the Stern report: a low-carbon future is the 'only one available'

10.27 Kansas Gov. Sam Brownback’s trickle-down economics experiment is so bad the state stopped reporting on it

10.26 Donald Trump has close financial ties to Dakota Access pipeline company

10.25 Already an Oligarchy: Corporate Dominance Negates Democracy

10.24 How Democrats Killed Their Populist Soul

10.24 Elizabeth Warren Warns Democrats Not To Cave On Corporate Tax Reform

10.23 Super-size my superyacht: the quest for bigger boats and gadgets



10.28 What do you think about the state of Spain's politics?

10.28 First Nations, Conservation Groups Sue to Block Massive LNG Project in BC

10.28 US Votes 'No' As UN Holds Historic Vote for Nuclear Weapons Ban

10.27 Which is the world’s most wasteful city?

10.27 Honduran Opposition Leaders Being Murdered While US Pours in Money to Repressive Government and Military [are U.S. neocons from the 1980s still in charge?]

10.26 In Iceland, Women Leave Work at 2:38pm to Protest Gender Wage Gap

10.26 Human Rights Defenders Face 'Unthinkable Spiral of Violence' in Latin America

10.26 Why Hillary Clinton's plans for no-fly zones in Syria could provoke US-Russia conflict

10.26 Spain reviews plan to let Russian warships refuel en route to Syria

10.26 Threats of death and violence common for women in politics, report says

10.26 Can we secure the internet of things in time to prevent another cyber-attack?

10.25 Study says 850,000 UK public sector jobs could be automated by 2030

10.25 Quetta attack: Pakistan reels as more than 50 die in assault on police academy

We are a non-profit Internet-only newspaper publication founded in 1973. Your donation is essential to our survival.

You can also mail a check to:
Baltimore News Network, Inc.
P.O. Box 42581
Baltimore, MD 21284-2581
This site Web
  Sen. Hillary Clinton: ''It'll be over by Feb. 5.''
Newspaper logo


Sen. Hillary Clinton: “It’ll be over by Feb. 5.”

If the point of this compressed primary season was supposedly to give more states a say in the process, what happens to the states left out?

by Margie Burns

January may determine whether California and New York carry the nomination.
Candidates sometimes drop off-the-cuff remarks in their signing-off moments that they would not have led with.

On Dec. 30, when Hillary Clinton wrapped up with George Stephanopoulos on the ABC Television Sunday talk show "This Week," she signed off by absently summarizing the primary season: “It’ll be over by Feb. 5.”

From the transcript:

“GEORGE STEPHANOPOULOS: (Off-camera) If you don't win here how do you recover?

SENATOR HILLARY CLINTON: I don't think it's a question of recovery. I have a campaign that is poised and ready for the long term. We are competing everywhere through February 5th. We have staff in many states. We have built organizations in many states. You know, George, you and I went through an experience in 1992 where Bill Clinton didn't win anything until Georgia. He came in second time and time again in a much less, you know, volatile and contested environment.

GEORGE STEPHANOPOULOS: (Off-camera) Much less compressed also.

SENATOR HILLARY CLINTON: A much less compressed environment. So from my perspective, you get up every day and you get out there and you make your case and you reach as many people as possible. That's what I intend to do, so I'm in it for the long run. It's not a very long run. It'll be over by February 5th.”

Feb. 5, of course, is when the largest number of states ever will hold primaries and conventions on the same day. Some commentators call it “Super-Duper Tuesday,” confusing those of us who thought “Super Tuesday” was as ticky-tacky as you could get in characterizing an election.

For the Democrats, 22 states and Democrats living abroad will hold primaries or conventions on Feb. 5 to nominate a huge estimated 2,075 delegates to the national convention in Denver, Aug. 25-28. Another 207 delegates will be awarded in contests before Feb. 5, beginning with the Iowa caucuses on Friday, Jan. 3.

A total 2,200 delegates is huge. Still, Mrs. Clinton’s offhand remark raises questions.

The most immediate question is the most obvious: Leaving the GOP out of the equation, will the Democratic nomination necessarily be sewn up by Feb. 5? Apparently Mrs. Clinton counts on crushing in New York (281 delegates) and California (441) that day. The Democratic Party mandates proportional representation, with any candidate who receives less than 15 percent of the vote falling out. Recent state polls in CA and NY show Clinton ahead, presumably among voters unaware that she supports a health insurance program rather like Mitt Romney’s in Massachusetts, which was crafted with input from the insurance industry.

Outside California and New York, two states being lost sight of in media attention to Iowa and New Hampshire, Clinton still has the advantage of huge name recognition going into Feb. 5, but the two largest states are the most critical for her. January may determine whether California and New York carry the nomination.

If Feb. 5, meaning largely California and New York, do not end the nominating process for the Dems, then the question becomes, what happens in the rest of the primaries and caucuses? Another 23 states hold Democratic contests from Feb. 9 through June 3, for another 1000 delegates. Turnout varies by state, but many of these states have local and statewide elections of interest.

If, on the other hand, Feb. 5 does end the nominating process, that leaves a further question. Delegates are one thing. Electors are another. If the point of this compressed primary season was supposedly to give more states a say in the process, what happens to the states left out?

States that hold primaries or conventions after Tuesday, February 5 command a total of 125 electoral votes: Ohio (20) and Wisconsin (10), major battlegrounds in the Midwest; Washington (11) and Oregon (7) in the Pacific Northwest, Blue but not safe; Texas (34), which would never be written off if the Democratic party were party-building by registering new voters; Mississippi (6) and Louisiana (9), where Dems should be fighting especially hard after Katrina; Maine (4), and Vermont (3)—a safe bet not to go Republican, but it could readily go third party if the national party nominates Mrs. Clinton; and Pennsylvania (21) , another major battleground.

Any candidate needs most of these states to win. Electoral arithmetic aside, is enthusiastic turnout in the November general election a given for states written off before Valentine’s Day?

Anything could happen between now and November 2008. Still, a little handicapping here:

Mrs. Clinton would probably carry New York (31) and California (55) in the general election, unless she went so ‘centrist’ (corporate mouthpiece, Bush lite) that a good third-party candidate got into the race.

That still leaves the rest of the Electoral College. Setting aside the ‘safe’ states, in several states not considered safely ‘Blue’ the Democratic Party should theoretically have a good shot this year. Among those, for a total of 98 electoral votes, Clinton might not carry Michigan (17), Arizona (10), Colorado (9), Kansas (6), Missouri (11), New Mexico (5), Oklahoma (7), and the Dakotas (6). Given the Clintons’ track record of no party-building, you can add Tennessee (11) and Arkansas (6). And if a good alternative candidate arises on the progressive side, throw out Minnesota (10).

This run-down may look bad for the Dems, but it fits the historical picture from the 1990s on:

  1. Bill Clinton won the White House because of Ross Perot. This point is not fashionable among pundits who treat Clinton as a political wizard, especially in the national capital. The Washington Post flew into a hysterical paroxysm about Perot that I, personally, have never seen equaled in a newspaper, and I am from Texas, where men are men and newspapers are awful. But the Perot vote made a critical difference in several states that Clinton carried. There was never a popular, or populist, groundswell for William Jefferson Clinton, chair of the ‘centrist’ DLC.
  2. As veteran analyst Mark Shields pointed out a few years ago, the Clinton administration, during eight years in office, did little to no party building at the grassroots level.
  3. When the Clintons left the White House, they did not move back to Arkansas. They moved to New York, improving their prospects rather than party prospects.
  4. In 2000, Mrs. Clinton thus ran for Senate from New York rather than from Arkansas. New York would have elected Nita Lowey to the Senate in 2000, if Lowey had not moved aside for Clinton. Clinton might have won in Arkansas, and would at least have made a difference in other elections there in 2000.
  5. In 2000, the Democrats failed to carry either Arkansas, Clinton’s home state, or Tennessee, Gore’s home state. Had either state gone Democratic, it would have kept the 2000 election out of the courts, and Bush v. Gore would not have happened.

The foregoing leaves little hope that the Clinton bandwagon serves as much more than a stop-loss for the GOP and for the tight handful of corporate interests that have benefited from the last several elections. If Clinton is nominated, she has a good chance of losing the general election. But if she wins, they figure they can control her.

Margie Burns [link to her blog at] is a freelance journalist in the DC area. She can be reached at

Copyright © 2008 The Baltimore News Network. All rights reserved.

Republication or redistribution of Baltimore Chronicle content is expressly prohibited without their prior written consent.

Baltimore News Network, Inc., sponsor of this web site, is a nonprofit organization and does not make political endorsements. The opinions expressed in stories posted on this web site are the authors' own.

This story was published on January 3, 2008.


Public Service Ads: